Research
Featured topics:
GDP
Beige Book Analysis
MSCI RCA Commercial Property Prices
Independent Landlord Rental Performance
Industrial Sector Woes
Student Housing
Office Demand
Existing Home Sales
Subleasing Activity
Consumer Confidence
1. GDP
• Real GDP increased by an annual rate of 2.6%% in Q3 2022, according to the advanced estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The increase follows two consecutive quarterly declines in Q1 and Q2, moderating some concerns that the US economy is already in recession.
• Increases in exports, consumer spending, government spending, and nonresidential fi xed investment drove the climb in economic output. Meanwhile, private inventory investment and residential fi xed investment declined during the quarter.
• Notably, the only GDP components that changed directionality from last quarter were nonresidential fi xed investment and government spending. Both went from a drag on GDP in Q2 to a driver of GDP in Q3.
• The leading driver of increased exports was industrial supplies and materials, including petroleum and other non-durables. Services also increased, mainly travel and fi nancial services. Within consumer spending, an increase in healthcare expenditures was partially offset by a decline in motor vehicle and food and beverage spending.
• Nonresidential fixed investment, which went from negative to positive quarter-over-quarter, was driven by equipment spending and intellectual property products while partially offset by a decrease in structures.
